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America Needs an Off-Ramp Between Doing Nothing and Shutting AI Down

War on the Rocks · · International · AI Governance

In June 2026, a Commerce Department order barred Anthropic from providing two frontier AI models to foreign users without a license, leading the company to take both models offline globally for 18 days. The episode exposed the lack of any standardized government process for evaluating and managing the security risks of advanced AI systems.

Why this matters: For 18 days, a government export order accidentally shut down two major AI models for everyone, including Americans. That is not a targeted national security action. That is a blunt instrument hitting the wrong people. The deeper problem is that the U.S. still has no real framework for deciding when an AI model is too risky to share and with whom. Without that, regulators will keep reaching for the only tool they have, which is a complete shutdown. Companies and users deserve a process that is more precise than an on-off switch.

Who should care: Lawyers · Compliance · General readers · AI governance · Policy

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